AFC East-New England, Buffalo, NY Jets, Miami
The AFC East looks to be on the rebound after a few years of dominance by the New England Patriots. The Patriots looked very old in the Super Bowl loss to the Giants, and it will be interesting to see how they bounce back from it. Look for Brady, Moss, and Company to take a step back this year, which after going undefeated in the 2007 regular season should be expected. Buffalo has a nice young group, but my concern is the receivers. Lee Evans is a star, but the rest of the core is nothing special. The return of Paul Posluszny, and the addition of Marcus Stroud should strengthen the defense. The Jets with the addition of Brett Favre at qb could be a dangerous team, but my expectations are not that high. Favre was able to participate in training camp, but I don't believe he will be truly comfortable with his teammates until mid season at the earliest. Miami is still a work in progress, and I would be shocked if they win more than 3 games. I have never really been impressed with Chad Pennington, and it doesn't help that his receiving core is probably the worst in the league. I expect Ricky Williams to get a lot of work, but he will see a lot of 8 men in the box looks from opposing defenses.
AFC West-San Diego, Oakland, Denver, Kansas City
San Diego has owned this division for the past few seasons, and I expect that trend to continue in 09. If they were going into the season healthy, they would be my pick as the AFC Champs, but Rivers, LT, Gates, plus Merriman are all recovering or dealing with injuries. They still should have enough to win a rebuilding division. Oakland should be much better in 09 compared to the last 5 seasons, but depth is a concern. The receiving core and oline are a concern, especially with a young inexperienced qb, but a strong running game should help take away some of the pressure. The key on defense is stopping the run, and the Raiders have a trio of 300+ pounders in the middle that should help the playmaking linebackers improve their 2008 league low ranking. Denver and Kansas City will battle for the cellar, but the difference is Kansas City seems to know they are rebuilding, while Denver seems to be retooling for a playoff run. Unfortunately, Denver does not have enough talent to compete for a playoff spot in the AFC.
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